With three different winners in the Triple Crown series this year, the threat of a mid-season three-year championship race seems to be coming from Home Brew, who made it big this past weekend at Monmouth Park on the Jersey Shore.
Home Brew won the TVG Pegasus Stakes on June 18 with an impressive performance, 6 1/2 lengths ahead of the competition under jockey Paco Lopez. The horse trained by Brad Cox earned a Beyer speed rating of 97 for an effort of about 1 1/16 miles; In contrast, Belmont Stakes champion Moe Donegal earned 98 Beyer points for his 1 1/2 mile performance on June 11.
The Pegasus serves as Monmouth Park’s final preparation for its flagship race, the $1 million Haskell Stakes for three-year-olds on July 23rd. at Churchill Downs – indicate either Haskell or Jim Dandy bets on July 30 at Saratoga, according to the Daily Racing Form.
But Cyberknife earned a career-best Beyer 94 speed in the Matt Winn Stakes, three short of Home Brew’s win in the unrated Pegasus Stakes. What’s more, while Cyberknife scored his win by nose-smashing the wire, Home Brew put in a much more impressive visual effort on the Pegasus – chasing at a fast pace and then showing tactical speed at the top of the section with a three-way punch. lead rate.
Lopez went on a stretch whip to get Home Brew away from the field, but on the final sixteenth mile drove the Street Sense colt, urging him to the wire in his hand.
The Haskell Stakes promises to be a much tougher field than what Home Brew topped in the Pegasus Stakes, and several Triple Crown runners are likely to enter the Grade 1 competition.
Among the possible contenders for Haskell, according to racing nation, Florida Derby winner White Abarrio (competing in this weekend’s Ohio Derby at Thistledown) and Derby winner Santa Anita Taiba, both of which failed in the Kentucky Derby. Aside from Home Brew, the most intriguing Haskell contender is Jack Christopher, who won both of his starts this year with impressive efforts at the Pat Day Mile at Churchill Downs and the Woody Stephens Stakes at Belmont Park.
Jack Christopher, coached by Chad Brown, has never run two laps before, and his pedigree (from sprinter Munnings) casts doubt on whether he can lay the route.
However, Home Brew should be considered for the Haskell Stakes on July 23rd. It has improved with every outing so far and has the pedigree to cover 1 1/8 miles with no problems. Depending on how the Haskell field plays out, he could also get away at a very good price – probably at least 3-1.
Race to Watch This Weekend: Mother Goose Stakes
Formerly part of the Triple Tiara of NYRA’s 3-Year-Old Filly Races, Mother Goose has become something of an afterthought in recent years, taking place just two weeks after the more lucrative Tier 1 Acorn Stakes at Belmont Stakes Day. .
Just five horses enter the $250,000 Tier 2 race led by likely favorite Juju’s Map. After finishing second in the Junior Filly Breeders’ Cup the previous November, she won her first race after a six-month hiatus on May 6 during the Kentucky Oaks undercard. She has won or placed in all five starts of her career.
Two horses that were heavily beaten by Secret Oath in Kentucky Oaks also run in Mother Goose: Shahama (6th), UAE Oaks winner; and Wenty Valentine (14th), who is counting on her first betting win.
The field also includes Jerrymander, who won the Tempted Stakes at Belmont Park last year as a two-year-old by beating a field that included Nest, the eventual runner-up for the Kentucky Oaks. Gerrymander lost heavily in her only start since that race, with a disappointing sixth-place finish in the Eight Belles Stakes at Churchill Downs in May.
Rounding out the field is trucker Midnight Stroll, who finished ninth in the Pimlico Black Eyed Susan Stakes tournament.
The Juju card did its own thing at Churchill in its debut in 2022, setting the pace and breaking away on the stretch. She can win by outpacing her opponent or picking up pace quickly, and has demonstrated this coveted tactical speed. After her season debut, it’s hard to imagine her regressing for the second time after a six-month hiatus.
However, Jerrymander, the type of runner in need of leadership, can be a threat to engage Kart Juju in a speed duel early, and if the factions are too fast, it could portend a good approach like Shahama.
Gerrymander’s best hope is to do what she did last fall at the Tempted: get ahead, set soft early shots and lull the field. It’s possible, but extremely unlikely.
Our choice: Map of Juju, Shahama, Gerrymander.